Should leverage be used to increase potential profits in Permanent Portfolio?
In short, do not use leverage for this portfolio. If you use
leverage, depending on situation, you can lose all your investments, and even
owe money - this is not something you wish for money you cannot afford to lose!
To recap, invest money that you cannot afford to lose, speculate with money you can afford to lose. If you use only cash and own only actual assets, there is almost no chance to
lose your entire investment fortune. I believe most retail investors are rookie
investors, as opposed to experienced or professional investors. Rookie
investors should use a grounded approach and only invest using cash. For this portfolio investment, invest in the actual assets such as
STI ETF shares, government bonds or government bond ETFs, physical gold or ETF
backed by physical gold. Do not invest in their derivative leveraged instruments such as CFD,
futures and options. Actual assets can provide dividends and interests, give
you a more grounded feeling that you are owning something, and reduce or
eliminate counterparty risk that your asset will become worthless if the
counterparty defaults on the derivative instruments. If you think you are savvy enough to invest with leveraged instrument, you can start another portfolio with money you can lose to invest with leveraged instruments, and see for yourself how you would perform. Leveraged instruments comes with potentially higher operating costs, and may need more monitoring. In addition, leveraged instruments normally do not pay out interests and dividends.
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